SHREVEPORT, La. - The National Hurricane Center is tracking a tropical disturbance in the Bay of Campeche, with a tropical depression likely to form by Thursday or Friday.
There's still uncertainty with the forecast, because it's still a couple of days from organizing.
Current global model runs show the system starting to move north into the central Gulf on Thursday and then into the north/northwest Gulf on Friday. They show the system developing and moving inland Saturday somewhere around southeast Texas or southwest Louisiana.
But even if the system stays messy or ends up in a different landfall spot, we're likely looking at heavy rain along Gulf Coast starting as early as Friday until Sunday. It remains to be seen what kind of impact the ArkLaTex will see from the system.
The latest forecast indicates the potential for widespread 5+ inches of rain in areas impacted the most.
Only time will tell where the heaviest rain will occur.
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